Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 5.247615 5.782736 6.352863 7.006212 7.735118 8.524300 9.444768
2025-12-14 4.255865 4.955319 5.747178 6.712769 7.862110 9.190893 10.850002
2025-12-21 3.603226 4.402308 5.356566 6.586334 8.138074 10.042706 12.575417
2025-12-28 3.194637 4.078266 5.186426 6.689647 8.693046 11.295540 14.971981
2026-01-04 2.856853 3.795086 5.025370 6.774872 9.228085 12.589303 17.618649
2026-01-11 2.548759 3.509423 4.821011 6.768308 9.629969 13.750337 20.258981
2026-01-18 2.269818 3.228073 4.585090 6.680776 9.896477 14.745307 22.804981
2026-01-25 2.030774 2.974473 4.356322 6.569269 10.103980 15.669396 25.377274
2026-02-01 1.828417 2.751523 4.145519 6.454445 10.283528 16.563269 28.031676
2026-02-08 1.655147 2.553707 3.949895 6.336226 10.435515 17.422488 30.753607
2026-02-15 1.520366 2.401857 3.809151 6.287794 10.692450 18.485640 34.005652
2026-02-22 1.433327 2.317676 3.767843 6.399393 11.237055 20.124621 38.611504
2026-03-01 1.322760 2.185928 3.637341 6.346352 11.489263 21.283588 42.529596
2026-03-08 1.208158 2.036581 3.461950 6.192190 11.532145 22.048332 45.777567
2026-03-15 1.124017 1.932373 3.355317 6.152353 11.789053 23.271972 50.244299
2026-03-22 1.075396 1.886778 3.349262 6.302648 12.444138 25.410840 57.199038
2026-03-29 1.026669 1.836300 3.328791 6.421393 13.048993 27.533885 64.554794
2026-04-05 0.970162 1.766127 3.264042 6.442599 13.447627 29.259801 71.291286
2026-04-12 0.909023 1.681795 3.163900 6.378689 13.649711 30.564054 77.215302
2026-04-19 0.850370 1.597366 3.055862 6.285815 13.773496 31.700572 82.933500
2026-04-26 0.796212 1.517413 2.949742 6.185446 13.866490 32.775675 88.718057
2026-05-03 0.746155 1.441738 2.845846 6.078836 13.930706 33.788291 94.551183
2026-05-10 0.706271 1.383713 2.773806 6.036854 14.147770 35.232798 102.028101